Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046331 0.054610 0.063875 0.075004 0.088001 0.102692 0.120553
2025-06-29 0.032391 0.042719 0.055565 0.072682 0.094858 0.122585 0.159854
2025-07-06 0.024305 0.034975 0.049375 0.070158 0.099305 0.138649 0.195705
2025-07-13 0.020189 0.031215 0.047127 0.071639 0.108309 0.160972 0.242163
2025-07-20 0.016980 0.027951 0.044735 0.072096 0.115375 0.180934 0.287459
2025-07-27 0.014565 0.025365 0.042773 0.072624 0.122243 0.201046 0.335181
2025-08-03 0.012771 0.023416 0.041413 0.073726 0.129910 0.223039 0.388340
2025-08-10 0.011517 0.022145 0.040918 0.076080 0.139790 0.249598 0.452087
2025-08-17 0.009753 0.019638 0.037857 0.073403 0.140418 0.260337 0.489716
2025-08-24 0.008608 0.018093 0.036284 0.073149 0.145255 0.278844 0.543152
2025-08-31 0.007552 0.016546 0.034459 0.072106 0.148376 0.294425 0.592817
2025-09-07 0.006927 0.015774 0.034032 0.073724 0.156803 0.320838 0.666087
2025-09-14 0.006121 0.014503 0.032442 0.072812 0.160176 0.338137 0.724191
2025-09-21 0.005342 0.013165 0.030518 0.070924 0.161279 0.351051 0.775095
2025-09-28 0.004637 0.011875 0.028502 0.068527 0.160927 0.360844 0.820549
2025-10-05 0.004290 0.011383 0.028213 0.069989 0.169298 0.390101 0.911358
2025-10-12 0.003918 0.010765 0.027537 0.070439 0.175389 0.415032 0.995454
2025-10-19 0.003591 0.010210 0.026928 0.070954 0.181685 0.441106 1.085147
2025-10-26 0.003329 0.009780 0.026567 0.072032 0.189468 0.471465 1.188319
2025-11-02 0.003150 0.009549 0.026680 0.074334 0.200584 0.510928 1.317762
2025-11-09 0.002773 0.008690 0.025012 0.071717 0.198800 0.518979 1.371248
2025-11-16 0.002535 0.008197 0.024262 0.071468 0.203177 0.542756 1.466842
2025-11-23 0.002293 0.007651 0.023285 0.070449 0.205346 0.561170 1.550797